Annnnnnnndddd we're off!
First and foremost thank you for subscribing. The past weekend has been unreal in my small sports betting community and we’ve gained a ton of traction. If you got here from somewhere outside of Tik Tok you missed one hell of a run this weekend.
25-5 ATS in the first weekend of March Madness. Just refusing to lose and I can’t wait for Thursday.
My goal for this will be to have it ready to drop somewhere around 5-6pm est everyday. Giving everyone enough time to read through and get their plays in. Also note with that, I might toss some plays out there that the lines will either have changed by the time this comes out or a player will be scratched. Just be aware, nothing really we can do about that unless I’m writing it right before sending.
Orlando Magic +8 (-115)
No Steph Curry for Golden State again tonight. They have been without him for 1.5 games and both they lost 110-108 to SAS and 110-88 to Boston. I like Orlando to keep this competitive and under 10 point loss or even a win tonight.
Jordan Poole OVER 21.5 points (-122)
Staying with this game, no Curry means those points are coming from either Thompson or Pool or both. He’s averaging over 17 a game for the season and 25.1 over his last 9 games.
He should get the start again tonight and I love him to go over 21.5. I am even leaning towards doing a Poole ladder.
Over 21.5 (-122)
Whenever I do a ladder I always go: 1-2 units on the o/u. .75 units on the next level up and .25 units on the third level up. That allows you to cover level 2 and 3 with the o/u and if the guy has a night, you end up very green.
Wendell Carter Combo, OVER 28.5 points, rebounds and assists (-115)
I normally never play this many picks from one single game but I really like this line. Wendell Carter is averaging 29 combined p,r,a so far this year. I love him to grab double digit rebounds this game. I expect that we’re going to hit this number with just points and rebounds, so look at assists as icing on the cake.
Player Performance Double Parlay: (+170)
This one is a huge value play. Love both Milwaukee and Denver to win tonight. If you tried to get Giannis double double your odds are -430 and Jokic is a whopping -950.
To smash both of these guys together and get plus money is huge value that I can’t pass up on.
I’m not playing the Knicks Hawks game but here’s some interesting trends that make me think that Hawks ML might be the play and I am also leaning over 225.5 in this game.
Knicks at home: 14-21 ATS
Knicks as home underdog: 3-8 ATS
Knicks with 1 day rest: 17-30 ATS
Hawks over when they are the favorite: 24-19
Knicks over when are underdogs: 21-15
Here’s what I might do with this game, alt line parlay:
Atlanta +2.5 & Over 216.5 (-105). BANG, best of both worlds, with a little room for error.
That’s it for today’s plays and leans. As I said we are gearing up for Thursday and crushing some more March Madness plays.
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Bet responsibly and as always. WE RIDE!!!!